History of Darjeeling District Migration Between 1872-2011

Abstract

The human migration is one of the fundamental aspects of social science. Even though it is an interdisciplinary research problem, currently History scholars are also attracted with this problem. Many classical queries such as who moves, when do they move, what are the historical events associated with the movements, why do they move, what are the impacts when they live there are frequently arisen in migration related social science research problems. It is admitted that historical data sets are not exact as obtained from scientific experiments, or physical measurements. It is always important to study history with exact robust estimated historical data which can only be derived by adopting some scientific modeling approach from the raw available data. The current article aims to study the history of migration, or equivalently population growth trend of Darjeeling District, West Bengal, India from 1872 to 2011 using census data, adopting cubic spline and probabilistic parametric models. The current paper not only develops the robust estimates of population growth data during this period, but also focuses on many migration related social science research problems as stated above. All these above mentioned historical events are located from the developed cubic spline and probabilistic parametric models. Note that, probabilistic parametric model provides better estimates than the cubic spline model within this period.